The Persistent Crisis of Gender-Based Violence: A Political Risk Lens

Journal of Political Risk, Vol. 13, No. 7, July 2025

Ni Una Menos march in Buenos Aires on 3 June 2024.

Ni Una Menos march in Buenos Aires on 3 June 2024. Credit: Prensa Obrera via Wikimedia Commons

By Stephanie Wild

The International Day for the Elimination of Violence Against Women on November 25 served as a reminder of the global crisis of sexual and gender-based violence (SGBV) and femicide. These issues are not confined to private tragedies but reflect broader governance failures and social instabilities, making them a critical political risk. High rates of SGBV and femicide weaken public trust in institutions, destabilize communities, and impose significant economic costs, all of which threaten national and regional stability.

From January 1st to 31st, 2024 alone, there were 240 femicide cases recorded across 26 different countries. Notably, countries in Africa (and more specifically Southern Africa) and in Latin America (LATAM) consistently report the highest levels of SGBV – often dominating the top ten global lists of rape rates. Those most commonly featured on these lists include South Africa, Lesotho, Botswana, Costa Rica, and Nicaragua. In Africa alone, it is estimated that 20,000 women were killed by their partners and ex-partners in 2022. Select states in Latin America and the Caribbean collecting and publishing regular data on femicide, in 2022, at least 4,050 women fell victim to femicide across 26 countries in the region.

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Rape: The Russian Tool of Conquest

Journal of Political Risk, Vol. 10, No. 6, June 2022

Police uncover the body of Karina Yeshiva, 22, in Bucha. A forensics team of 3 is depicted excavating the body with specialised equipment in a sandy ditch.

Police uncover the body of Karina Yeshiva, 22, in Bucha. Witnesses say she was tortured, raped, and shot in the head by Russian soldiers. Source: DW.

Stephanie Wild
University of Cape Town

Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, at least 4,000 civilians have been killed. Moscow has therefore been accused of targeting civilians. However, this is not the only tactic emerging. Acts of rape and sexual violence are also emerging as a weapon of war. In fact, the Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR) released a report on the 3rd of June stating that they had already received allegations of 124 acts of conflict-related sexual assault in Ukraine. These reported assaults have mostly been against women and girls, ranging from gang rape, to coercion, to forcibly bearing witness to acts of sexual violence perpetrated against partners and children. Concerns surrounding human traffickers exploiting existing networks are also on the rise. A United Nations Security Council meeting, in particular, brought this to the attention of the world on June 6. 

Sexual violence being heavily associated with stigma and shame, the concern is that the actual figure is much higher than 124. A more accurate idea of the actual figure will only emerge with an end to the conflict. However, considering the number of reported sexual assaults, it is clear that Ukrainian women are the victims of sexual violence perpetrated by Russian soldiers each day. This points to a weaponization of sexual violence.  

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