The Price Of Paramount Power: Xi Jinping’s Ascension Could Make China A Much Riskier Place To Do Business

Journal of Political Risk, Vol. 6, No. 3, March 2018

A noodle vendor sits beside a poster showing the late Chinese chairman Mao Zedong.

A noodle vendor sits beside a poster showing the late Chinese chairman Mao Zedong in February 2016. Fifty years after the Cultural Revolution spread bloodshed and turmoil across China, the Communist-ruled country is driving firmly down the capitalist road, but Mao Zedong’s legacy remains — like the embalmed leader himself — far from buried. Source: Carsten ten Brink via Flickr.

Richard Hornik

Stony Brook University

One of the peculiar pathologies of western businessmen active in China is an almost religious reverence for its lack of due process, enthralled by the combination of free(ish) markets and political stability proffered by China’s Market-Leninism (a term coined by Nicholas Kristoff). What they miss, however, is the price that must be paid for such short-term control, and during the course of Chinese history that price has proven to be very high.

The latest convert to this envy for authoritarian efficiency is Tesla’s Elon Musk who has spoken and written extensively about China’s ability to conceive, approve and build enormous infrastructure projects in a matter of a few years – or less[1].  No zoning rules, environmental regulations, cost-benefit analyses — much less property rights — can stand in the way of the gleaming high-speed rail lines, shiny new airports, massive harbors and 12-lane highways and bridges that have covered the Middle Kingdom in the past two decades. Likewise with housing developments and mega industrial installations like petrochemical plants, steel mills and refineries.

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U.S., U.K., And Allies Must Increase Support To Saudi Arabia

Journal of Political Risk, Vol. 6, No. 3, March 2018

The British PM Theresa May sits to the right of the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia, Mohammed bin Salman. A fireplace is located between their 2 armchairs. Both countries' flags are visible in the background.

The PM jointly hosted the inaugural meeting of the UK-Saudi Arabia Strategic Partnership Council with the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia, Mohammed bin Salman, March 2018. Source: Flickr.

Anders Corr, Ph.D.

Publisher of the Journal of Political Risk

Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman (MBS) met British Prime Minister Theresa May in London on March 7, the first leg of his worldwide tour to get trade deals and improve diplomatic support for Saudi Arabia’s growing proxy conflict with Iran. It is unfolding in Syria, Iraq, Qatar, Lebanon, and Yemen. This trip’s agreements with Britain include $2 billion in trade deals, not least of which are Saudi Arabia’s purchase of 48 Typhoon fighter aircraft from BAE. While protesters have raised human rights concerns, and Saudi Arabia does have more than its fair share of religious extremists, the government of Saudi Arabia is actually a moderating influence in the Middle East, and a close ally against the growing alliance of China, Russia, and Iran.

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